Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Utes @ Buffaloes UTAH @ COLO

UTAH

UTESUTAH

8-6  |  Road

73
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 9:00 PM ET
CU Events Center
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

11-3  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
0%
📊
BUFFALOES
100%
UTES --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
UtesUTAH (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utes Cover

42.1%

Buffaloes Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLO +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

UTAH By 1-7 points

26.8%

UTAH By 8-14 points

18.6%

COLO By 1-7 points

23.0%

COLO By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
86
UTAH
84
COLORADO
Simulated Score
71
UTAH
74
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Utes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 COLO @ UTAH 92 - 78
Jan 7, 2026 UTAH @ COLO 73 - 85
Feb 5, 2025 COLO @ UTAH 59 - 72
Mar 14, 2024 UTAH @ COLO 58 - 72
Feb 24, 2024 UTAH @ COLO 65 - 89
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Utah: 34.7% vs Colorado: 31.4%
Steals (L5) +24.5% more
Colorado: 7.5 vs Utah: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +19.0% more
Colorado: 3.6 vs Utah: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +16.0% more
Colorado: 37.4 vs Utah: 32.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 86.0 73
COLO Score 84.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 34.7 33.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.2 / 13.7 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.1 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 46.9 47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 83.9 / 76.1 90.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 32.3 41.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.5 / 6.0 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 11.7 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
UTAH
COLO
UTAH
ML
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
67% 20-10
ATS
73% 24-9
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
67% 20-10
TTL
45% 15-18
41% 13-19
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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