Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Rams LAS @ URI

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

4-11  |  Road

79
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Thomas M. Ryan Center
View Odds Details →

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

9-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
EXPLORERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Rhode Island)
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 RamsURI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

2.9%

Rams Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

LAS By 1-7 points

2.2%

LAS By 8-14 points

0.4%

URI By 1-7 points

9.3%

URI By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
55
LA SALLE
74
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
68
LA SALLE
73
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u135.5 Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 URI @ LAS 46 - 59
Jan 7, 2026 LAS @ URI 79 - 72
Feb 15, 2025 LAS @ URI 71 - 86
Jan 25, 2025 URI @ LAS 64 - 70
Feb 25, 2024 URI @ LAS 61 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +75.5% more
Rhode Island: 4.9 vs La Salle: 2.8
Steals (L5) +70.0% more
Rhode Island: 7.8 vs La Salle: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +16.9% more
Rhode Island: 13.0 vs La Salle: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Rhode Island: 39.9% vs La Salle: 38.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 55.0 79
URI Score 74.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 28.0 35.0 / 54.0
Assists 9.4 / 12.7 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.9 / 2.8 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 38.3 41.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 59.3 / 66.9 67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 33.7 30.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.8 / 4.6 9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 11.1 16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
URI Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
LAS
URI
LAS
ML
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
ATS
56% 18-14
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
TTL
56% 18-14
66% 21-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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