EAST CAROLINA
PIRATESECU
5-9 | Road
67
TEMPLE
OWLSTEM
10-5 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
OWLS
100%
PIRATES
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
EAST CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (East Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ECU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECU)
ECU By 1-7 points
12.2%
ECU By 8-14 points
23.0%
TEM By 1-7 points
3.3%
TEM By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
East Carolina
79
EAST CAROLINA
Temple
62
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
East Carolina
69
EAST CAROLINA
Temple
73
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pirates (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
TEM @ ECU
81 - 73
Jan 7, 2026
ECU @ TEM
67 - 75
Feb 1, 2025
ECU @ TEM
94 - 98
Jan 8, 2025
TEM @ ECU
79 - 80
Jan 28, 2024
TEM @ ECU
64 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.0% more
East Carolina: 12.0
vs
Temple: 8.9
Steals (L5)
+8.1% more
East Carolina: 7.3
vs
Temple: 6.7
Blocks (L5)
+38.4% more
Temple: 4.9
vs
East Carolina: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+33.0% more
Temple: 14.4
vs
East Carolina: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECU Score
79.0
67
TEM Score
62.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 24.4
42.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.4 / 10.9
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.5
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 39.1
40.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 68.1
81.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 35.7
30.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.3
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 12.0
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECU
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
TEM
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECU
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
TEM
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ECU
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.9
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
ECU
TEM
ECU
ML
62%
20-12
55%
17-14
67%
20-10
55%
17-14
ATS
56%
18-14
52%
16-15
67%
20-10
55%
17-14
TTL
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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