FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
9-6 | Road
76
UAB
BLAZERSUAB
10-5 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
BLAZERS
100%
OWLS
--
BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
FAU By 1-7 points
0.1%
FAU By 8-14 points
1.1%
UAB By 1-7 points
0.0%
UAB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
90
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UAB
53
UAB
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
72
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UAB
75
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
FAU @ UAB
76 - 71
Mar 6, 2025
FAU @ UAB
80 - 89
Jan 12, 2025
UAB @ FAU
81 - 76
Feb 8, 2024
FAU @ UAB
73 - 76
Jan 14, 2024
UAB @ FAU
73 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+48.4% more
Florida Atlantic: 14.8
vs
UAB: 7.6
Blocks (L5)
+38.3% more
Florida Atlantic: 5.5
vs
UAB: 3.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Florida Atlantic: 48.5%
vs
UAB: 45.7%
Steals (L5)
+29.2% more
UAB: 7.5
vs
Florida Atlantic: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
90.0
76
UAB Score
53.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 34.0
32.0 / 28.0
Assists
14.4 / 14.1
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.4 / 5.5
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 48.5
37.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 70.4
71.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 41.5
40.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.8
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
7.6 / 14.8
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
FAU
UAB
FAU
ML
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
41%
13-19
66%
21-11
ATS
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
41%
13-19
66%
21-11
TTL
69%
22-10
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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