RICE
OWLSRICE
6-9 | Road
66
WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
9-6 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
SHOCKERS
0%
OWLS
--
SHOCKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Wichita State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WICH -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)
RICE By 1-7 points
0.1%
RICE By 8-14 points
0.0%
WICH By 1-7 points
0.8%
WICH By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
51
RICE
Wichita State
82
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
Rice
68
RICE
Wichita State
72
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Shockers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Shockers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Shockers (-13.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Shockers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
RICE @ WICH
66 - 64
Mar 6, 2025
WICH @ RICE
63 - 59
Mar 13, 2024
RICE @ WICH
81 - 88
Mar 2, 2024
RICE @ WICH
66 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.5% more
Wichita State: 13.7
vs
Rice: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+20.8% more
Wichita State: 41.7
vs
Rice: 34.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Wichita State: 46.8%
vs
Rice: 37.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Wichita State: 39.2%
vs
Rice: 30.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
51.0
66
WICH Score
82.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 30.4
27.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.7 / 10.5
6.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.5 / 5.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 37.2
30.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 69.6
77.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
41.7 / 34.5
42.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.3 / 8.7
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 12.7
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
RICE
WICH
RICE
ML
61%
22-14
53%
16-14
68%
23-11
53%
16-14
ATS
64%
23-13
60%
18-12
68%
23-11
53%
16-14
TTL
69%
25-11
77%
23-7
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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