SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SALUKISSIU
8-8 | Road
57
UIC
FLAMESUIC
5-10 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
100%
FLAMES
0%
SALUKIS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
SIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
UIC By 1-7 points
0.1%
UIC By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Illinois
51
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
UIC
88
UIC
Simulated Score
Southern Illinois
70
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
UIC
73
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
UIC @ SIU
68 - 66
Jan 7, 2026
SIU @ UIC
57 - 70
Feb 8, 2025
UIC @ SIU
67 - 79
Jan 25, 2025
SIU @ UIC
89 - 85
Mar 7, 2024
UIC @ SIU
84 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+33.4% more
UIC: 13.9
vs
Southern Illinois: 10.5
Blocks (L5)
+19.3% more
UIC: 4.2
vs
Southern Illinois: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
UIC: 73.7%
vs
Southern Illinois: 64.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.2%
Southern Illinois: 32.9%
vs
UIC: 26.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIU Score
51.0
57
UIC Score
88.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.7 / 32.9
33.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.9 / 10.5
20.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.5
4.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 44.4
42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 64.3
64.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 37.6
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.1
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 14.3
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
SIU
UIC
SIU
ML
57%
20-15
53%
17-15
44%
15-19
47%
15-17
ATS
54%
19-16
56%
18-14
44%
15-19
47%
15-17
TTL
60%
21-14
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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