RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
11-4 | Road
89
ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
11-3 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
BONNIES
0%
SPIDERS
--
BONNIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
ST. BONAVENTURE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (St. Bonaventure)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SBU -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SBU)
RICH By 1-7 points
0.0%
RICH By 8-14 points
0.0%
SBU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SBU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
51
RICHMOND
St. Bonaventure
95
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
Richmond
68
RICHMOND
St. Bonaventure
72
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
SBU @ RICH
94 - 99
Jan 7, 2026
RICH @ SBU
89 - 80
Jan 15, 2025
RICH @ SBU
49 - 63
Jan 6, 2024
SBU @ RICH
54 - 65
Feb 1, 2023
SBU @ RICH
66 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+103.6% more
St. Bonaventure: 2.8
vs
Richmond: 1.4
Turnovers (L5)
+40.7% more
St. Bonaventure: 11.3
vs
Richmond: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+16.8% more
St. Bonaventure: 34.8
vs
Richmond: 29.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
St. Bonaventure: 82.6%
vs
Richmond: 79.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
51.0
89
SBU Score
95.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.5 / 48.5
29.0 / 42.0
Assists
16.8 / 16.6
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 46.8
45.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 79.5
62.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 29.8
35.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.5
1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 8.0
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
SBU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
RICH
SBU
RICH
ML
59%
20-14
53%
17-15
61%
20-13
56%
18-14
ATS
50%
17-17
44%
14-18
61%
20-13
56%
18-14
TTL
38%
13-21
56%
18-14
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
Colorado Running Back Richard Young Poised for Expanded Role in …
Colorado's Richard Young Poised for Expanded Role Against Weber …
UConn Adds Shaw with Deep Basketball Roots and Veteran Presence …
McLeod Promoted to Head Women’s Basketball Coach