Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hurricanes @ Demon Deacons MIA @ WAKE

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

12-2  |  Road

81
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 7:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

10-5  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
100%
HURRICANES --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Miami)
HurricanesMIA (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

61.8%

Demon Deacons Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

MIA By 1-7 points

27.2%

MIA By 8-14 points

20.1%

WAKE By 1-7 points

21.6%

WAKE By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
67
MIAMI
64
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
75
MIAMI
78
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 7, 2026 MIA @ WAKE 81 - 77
Jan 11, 2025 WAKE @ MIA 88 - 78
Jan 6, 2024 MIA @ WAKE 82 - 86
Mar 9, 2023 WAKE @ MIA 72 - 74
Feb 18, 2023 WAKE @ MIA 87 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +21.1% more
Miami: 3.2 vs Wake Forest: 2.5
Rebounding (L5) +19.0% more
Miami: 41.9 vs Wake Forest: 33.9
Assists (L5) +16.9% more
Miami: 15.9 vs Wake Forest: 13.2
Field Goal % (L5) +9.4%
Miami: 51.4% vs Wake Forest: 42.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 67.0 81
WAKE Score 64.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 30.1 52.0 / 22.0
Assists 13.2 / 15.9 15.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.2 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 51.4 52.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 79.1 / 69.9 71.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 41.9 20.0 / 37.0
Steals 9.1 / 7.9 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 10.9 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
MIA
WAKE
MIA
ML
49% 17-18
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
ATS
66% 23-12
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
TTL
60% 21-14
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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