FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
10-5 | Road
78
CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
6-9 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
0%
MOCS
100%
PALADINS
--
MOCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Furman)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FUR -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)
FUR By 1-7 points
26.8%
FUR By 8-14 points
24.3%
UTC By 1-7 points
16.9%
UTC By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Furman
74
FURMAN
Chattanooga
68
CHATTANOOGA
Simulated Score
Furman
72
FURMAN
Chattanooga
75
CHATTANOOGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Paladins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mocs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Paladins (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Mocs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
UTC @ FUR
70 - 75
Jan 7, 2026
FUR @ UTC
78 - 67
Mar 9, 2025
FUR @ UTC
80 - 77
Feb 8, 2025
FUR @ UTC
72 - 85
Jan 18, 2025
UTC @ FUR
75 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.3% more
Furman: 2.5
vs
Chattanooga: 1.7
Rebounding (L5)
+20.3% more
Furman: 38.9
vs
Chattanooga: 31.0
Assists (L5)
+18.0% more
Furman: 17.9
vs
Chattanooga: 14.7
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
Furman: 11.0
vs
Chattanooga: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FUR Score
74.0
78
UTC Score
68.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 35.8
38.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.7 / 17.9
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
1.7 / 2.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 46.9
38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 57.2
75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.0 / 38.9
32.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.2
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 11.0
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
UTC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
UTC
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTC
FUR
UTC
FUR
ML
48%
15-16
71%
25-10
53%
16-14
62%
21-13
ATS
52%
16-15
63%
22-13
55%
17-14
62%
21-13
TTL
77%
24-7
57%
20-15
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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