SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
13-1 | Road
71
VCU
RAMSVCU
11-4 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
0%
RAMS
100%
BILLIKENS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SLU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
SLU By 1-7 points
20.1%
SLU By 8-14 points
27.2%
VCU By 1-7 points
8.0%
VCU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Louis
85
SAINT LOUIS
VCU
73
VCU
Simulated Score
Saint Louis
68
SAINT LOUIS
VCU
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Billikens (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
VCU @ SLU
75 - 88
Jan 7, 2026
SLU @ VCU
71 - 62
Jan 28, 2025
VCU @ SLU
69 - 78
Jan 14, 2025
SLU @ VCU
62 - 78
Feb 16, 2024
VCU @ SLU
95 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+28.6% more
Saint Louis: 22.1
vs
VCU: 15.8
Rebounding (L5)
+17.8% more
Saint Louis: 40.7
vs
VCU: 33.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Saint Louis: 46.6%
vs
VCU: 39.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Saint Louis: 55.1%
vs
VCU: 53.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SLU Score
85.0
71
VCU Score
73.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 46.6
25.0 / 30.0
Assists
15.8 / 22.1
7.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.5
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
53.4 / 55.1
29.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
81.0 / 70.1
83.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 40.7
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.9
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 9.2
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
VCU
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
SLU
VCU
SLU
ML
72%
26-10
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
ATS
81%
29-7
73%
24-9
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
TTL
58%
21-15
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…
Gonzaga vs. Duke: February Showdown Details Revealed, Including …
Arizona, Arkansas, and Duke Set to Ignite 2026 Midnight Madness …
UCLA's Second-Half Surge Over San Diego State: Wayne Knight Shin…