Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Ramblers DAV @ LUC

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

9-5  |  Road

79
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 9:00 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

5-10  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
RAMBLERS
0%
WILDCATS --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
WildcatsDAV (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

6.7%

Ramblers Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)

DAV By 1-7 points

4.8%

DAV By 8-14 points

1.1%

LUC By 1-7 points

15.3%

LUC By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
82
DAVIDSON
97
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
69
DAVIDSON
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ramblers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ramblers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 LUC @ DAV 59 - 64
Feb 6, 2026 LUC @ DAV 64 - 84
Jan 7, 2026 DAV @ LUC 79 - 64
Mar 5, 2025 DAV @ LUC 72 - 82
Feb 18, 2025 LUC @ DAV 77 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +34.6% more
Loyola Chicago: 14.8 vs Davidson: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +30.5% more
Loyola Chicago: 4.2 vs Davidson: 3.3
Assists (L5) +8.9% more
Loyola Chicago: 11.9 vs Davidson: 10.9
Free Throw % (L5) +3.0%
Loyola Chicago: 71.6% vs Davidson: 68.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAV Score 82.0 79
LUC Score 97.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 33.5 26.0 / 44.0
Assists 11.9 / 10.9 16.0 / 22.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.3 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 42.2 39.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 68.6 57.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 34.7 36.0 / 36.0
Steals 3.1 / 6.4 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 11.0 12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV Advantage
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
DAV
LUC
DAV
ML
55% 18-15
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
ATS
64% 21-12
48% 16-17
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
TTL
76% 25-8
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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