WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
9-5 | Road
73
PURDUE
BOILERMAKERSPUR
13-1 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
BOILERMAKERS
0%
HUSKIES
--
BOILERMAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Purdue)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)
WASH By 1-7 points
0.0%
WASH By 8-14 points
0.0%
PUR By 1-7 points
0.2%
PUR By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
43
WASHINGTON
Purdue
79
PURDUE
Simulated Score
Washington
67
WASHINGTON
Purdue
78
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Boilermakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Boilermakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
WASH @ PUR
73 - 81
Jan 15, 2025
PUR @ WASH
69 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+72.2% more
Purdue: 22.0
vs
Washington: 12.8
Steals (L5)
+65.5% more
Purdue: 7.7
vs
Washington: 4.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.4%
Purdue: 38.3%
vs
Washington: 25.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Purdue: 51.3%
vs
Washington: 46.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
43.0
73
PUR Score
79.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 25.9
33.0 / 31.0
Assists
22.0 / 12.8
19.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.6
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
51.3 / 46.6
57.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 83.4
67.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 35.9
37.0 / 25.0
Steals
7.7 / 4.6
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 8.6
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
PUR
Advantage
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
PUR
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
WASH
PUR
WASH
ML
67%
26-13
45%
15-18
66%
25-13
66%
21-11
ATS
64%
25-14
48%
16-17
66%
25-13
66%
21-11
TTL
51%
20-19
70%
23-10
100%
38-0
100%
32-0
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