AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
TERRIERS
100%
SPARTANS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
UNC GREENSBORO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (UNC Greensboro)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCG -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCG)
UNCG By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNCG By 8-14 points
0.4%
WOF By 1-7 points
0.0%
WOF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UNC Greensboro
101
UNC GREENSBORO
Wofford
60
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
UNC Greensboro
68
UNC GREENSBORO
Wofford
72
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spartans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spartans (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
UNCG @ WOF
75 - 72
Feb 14, 2026
WOF @ UNCG
89 - 99
Jan 7, 2026
UNCG @ WOF
85 - 97
Feb 1, 2025
WOF @ UNCG
74 - 62
Jan 1, 2025
UNCG @ WOF
68 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.5% more
UNC Greensboro: 41.5
vs
Wofford: 34.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
UNC Greensboro: 46.4%
vs
Wofford: 40.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
UNC Greensboro: 48.4%
vs
Wofford: 46.8%
Blocks (L5)
+325.0% more
Wofford: 3.7
vs
UNC Greensboro: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNCG Score
101.0
85
WOF Score
60.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 46.4
43.0 / 55.0
Assists
15.5 / 14.4
16.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.7 / 0.5
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 48.4
50.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 71.6
73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 41.5
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.6 / 5.7
5.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 7.3
4.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCG
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCG
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3%
Total +/-: +7.9
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
UNCG
WOF
UNCG
ML
39%
12-19
38%
13-21
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
ATS
58%
18-13
44%
15-19
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
TTL
65%
20-11
76%
26-8
100%
31-0
100%
34-0