CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
18-20-4 | Road
1
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
23-13-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.02 | 0.889 | -- |
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.02
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
CANADIENS
0%
FLAMES
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MTL By 1 goal
19.7%
MTL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
CGY @ MTL
1 - 4
Oct 22, 2025
MTL @ CGY
2 - 1
Mar 8, 2025
MTL @ CGY
0 - 1
Nov 5, 2024
CGY @ MTL
3 - 2
Mar 16, 2024
MTL @ CGY
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+17.4% more
Calgary: 5.4
vs
Montreal: 4.4
Hits (L5)
+11.7% more
Calgary: 26.4
vs
Montreal: 23.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.5% more
Calgary: 30.3
vs
Montreal: 27.4
Power Play % (L5)
+2.4%
Calgary: 13.4%
vs
Montreal: 11.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
1
MTL Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 12.9
19.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.2 / 51.0
48.4 / 51.6
Hits
23.3 / 26.4
24.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
1104.0 / 1344.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 30.3
35.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.4
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
CGY
MTL
CGY
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…