OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
20-16-5 | Road
1
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
20-20-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
MAMMOTH
100%
SENATORS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
6.6%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
UTA By 1 goal
0.9%
UTA By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
5
OTTAWA
Utah
1
UTAH
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Utah
3
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
OTT @ UTA
1 - 3
Nov 9, 2025
UTA @ OTT
2 - 4
Jan 26, 2025
UTA @ OTT
1 - 3
Oct 22, 2024
OTT @ UTA
4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.9% more
Ottawa: 31.9
vs
Utah: 27.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.8% more
Ottawa: 13.3
vs
Utah: 11.5
Hits (L5)
+13.1% more
Ottawa: 22.6
vs
Utah: 19.6
Power Play % (L5)
+9.7%
Ottawa: 19.5%
vs
Utah: 9.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
5.0
1
UTA Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 13.3
20.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.9 / 51.3
41.4 / 58.6
Hits
19.6 / 22.6
20.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
976.0 / 1945.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.2 / 31.9
21.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 4.9
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
OTT
UTA
OTT
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
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