GEORGE MASON
PATRIOTSGMU
14-1 | Road
67
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
9-6 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
PATRIOTS
0%
RAMS
100%
PATRIOTS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
GEORGE MASON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (George Mason)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GMU -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GMU)
GMU By 1-7 points
0.8%
GMU By 8-14 points
4.0%
FOR By 1-7 points
0.1%
FOR By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
George Mason
76
GEORGE MASON
Fordham
45
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
George Mason
68
GEORGE MASON
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Patriots
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Patriots (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
GMU @ FOR
67 - 58
Feb 26, 2025
FOR @ GMU
64 - 74
Feb 27, 2024
GMU @ FOR
60 - 61
Mar 1, 2023
FOR @ GMU
58 - 64
Mar 10, 2022
GMU @ FOR
49 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+65.2% more
George Mason: 2.9
vs
Fordham: 1.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
George Mason: 34.5%
vs
Fordham: 28.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+88.0% more
Fordham: 13.3
vs
George Mason: 7.1
Assists (L5)
+14.6% more
Fordham: 14.7
vs
George Mason: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GMU Score
76.0
67
FOR Score
45.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 34.5
26.0 / 9.0
Assists
14.7 / 12.9
10.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.0 / 2.9
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 47.3
34.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 66.3
60.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 36.7
41.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.9 / 4.5
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 7.1
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GMU
Advantage
23-10-0
(69.7%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GMU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
GMU
FOR
GMU
ML
59%
19-13
55%
18-15
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
ATS
59%
19-13
55%
18-15
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
TTL
59%
19-13
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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