Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Wizards ORL @ WSH

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

20-16  |  Road

112
FINAL
Tue, Jan 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

9-25  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
MAGIC --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Orlando)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

97.7%

Wizards Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

ORL By 1-7 points

8.0%

ORL By 8-14 points

18.6%

WSH By 1-7 points

1.7%

WSH By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
130
ORLANDO
110
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
108
ORLANDO
112
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Magic (+7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o235.0 Loss
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 WSH @ ORL 131 - 136
Mar 3, 2026 WSH @ ORL 109 - 126
Jan 6, 2026 ORL @ WSH 112 - 120
Nov 1, 2025 ORL @ WSH 125 - 94
Apr 3, 2025 ORL @ WSH 109 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.9% more
Orlando: 29.6 vs Washington: 24.0
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Orlando: 50.0% vs Washington: 47.9%
Turnovers (L5) +55.8% more
Washington: 16.3 vs Orlando: 10.5
Blocks (L5) +45.3% more
Washington: 7.3 vs Orlando: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 130.0 112
WSH Score 110.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 37.0 32.0 / 36.0
Assists 24.0 / 29.6 25.0 / 28.0
Blocks 7.3 / 5.0 10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 50.0 45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 83.0 / 75.9 94.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 43.5 / 40.4 45.0 / 48.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.9 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 16.3 / 10.5 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL Advantage
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
ORL
WSH
ORL
ML
70% 112-49
61% 65-42
47% 39-44
56% 51-40
ATS
69% 111-49-1
64% 68-38-1
47% 39-44
56% 51-40
TTL
74% 119-41-1
57% 61-46
100% 83-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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