MASSACHUSETTS
MINUTEMENMASS
9-6 | Road
83
OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
8-7 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
100%
BOBCATS
0%
MINUTEMEN
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
MASS By 1-7 points
3.3%
MASS By 8-14 points
0.6%
OHIO By 1-7 points
12.2%
OHIO By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Massachusetts
72
MASSACHUSETTS
Ohio
89
OHIO
Simulated Score
Massachusetts
72
MASSACHUSETTS
Ohio
75
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
OHIO @ MASS
82 - 94
Jan 6, 2026
MASS @ OHIO
83 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.7% more
Ohio: 7.5
vs
Massachusetts: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+21.8% more
Ohio: 3.9
vs
Massachusetts: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+31.1% more
Massachusetts: 19.2
vs
Ohio: 13.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.9%
Massachusetts: 39.3%
vs
Ohio: 24.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MASS Score
72.0
83
OHIO Score
89.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.4 / 39.3
43.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.2 / 19.2
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 46.9
52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 68.5
67.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 37.6
32.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.7
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 13.7
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
OHIO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
OHIO
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
MASS
OHIO
MASS
ML
65%
20-11
44%
14-18
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
ATS
68%
21-10
47%
15-17
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
TTL
61%
19-12
56%
18-14
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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