UNLV
REBELSUNLV
7-6 | Road
66
WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
10-4 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
REBELS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
UNLV By 1-7 points
5.8%
UNLV By 8-14 points
1.4%
WYO By 1-7 points
16.9%
WYO By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
UNLV
84
UNLV
Wyoming
98
WYOMING
Simulated Score
UNLV
70
UNLV
Wyoming
73
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
WYO @ UNLV
70 - 73
Jan 6, 2026
UNLV @ WYO
66 - 98
Feb 8, 2025
UNLV @ WYO
68 - 57
Jan 21, 2025
WYO @ UNLV
63 - 61
Feb 27, 2024
UNLV @ WYO
75 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+13.5% more
Wyoming: 13.8
vs
UNLV: 12.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Wyoming: 77.4%
vs
UNLV: 68.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Wyoming: 29.8%
vs
UNLV: 26.7%
Blocks (L5)
+53.8% more
UNLV: 6.4
vs
Wyoming: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNLV Score
84.0
66
WYO Score
98.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 26.7
43.0 / 45.0
Assists
13.5 / 14.8
16.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.0 / 6.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 45.6
55.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 68.5
79.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 42.3
43.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.9 / 9.8
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 12.1
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNLV
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
WYO
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNLV
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNLV
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +3.3
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
UNLV
WYO
UNLV
ML
52%
17-16
50%
17-17
70%
23-10
59%
20-14
ATS
64%
21-12
65%
22-12
70%
23-10
59%
20-14
TTL
64%
21-12
62%
21-13
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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