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SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

9-5  |  Road

78
FINAL
Tue, Jan 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Pete Maravich Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LSU

TIGERSLSU

12-2  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
GAMECOCKS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (LSU)
GamecocksSC (-3.5) 0 TigersLSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

18.4%

Tigers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LSU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)

SC By 1-7 points

12.2%

SC By 8-14 points

4.0%

LSU By 1-7 points

24.3%

LSU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
70
SOUTH CAROLINA
79
LSU
Simulated Score
73
SOUTH CAROLINA
78
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 LSU @ SC 92 - 87
Jan 6, 2026 SC @ LSU 78 - 68
Feb 18, 2025 SC @ LSU 67 - 81
Feb 17, 2024 LSU @ SC 64 - 63
Feb 18, 2023 SC @ LSU 82 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +214.5% more
LSU: 5.4 vs South Carolina: 1.7
Steals (L5) +40.1% more
LSU: 7.8 vs South Carolina: 5.6
Turnovers (L5) +28.0% more
LSU: 11.3 vs South Carolina: 8.8
Rebounding (L5) +16.2% more
LSU: 35.1 vs South Carolina: 30.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 70.0 78
LSU Score 79.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 29.8 32.0 / 57.0
Assists 15.6 / 15.1 12.0 / 17.0
Blocks 5.4 / 1.7 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 49.1 39.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 77.7 / 83.7 86.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 30.2 42.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.8 / 5.6 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 8.8 14.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
LSU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
LSU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
LSU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
SC
LSU
SC
ML
62% 20-12
72% 23-9
62% 20-12
68% 21-10
ATS
66% 21-11
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
68% 21-10
TTL
72% 23-9
50% 16-16
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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