GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
13-1 | Road
77
FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
9-5 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
GATORS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
GATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UGA -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
UGA By 1-7 points
0.4%
UGA By 8-14 points
2.2%
FLA By 1-7 points
0.0%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia
103
GEORGIA
Florida
69
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Georgia
71
GEORGIA
Florida
75
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gators
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Gators (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u174.5
Win
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim
u174.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
FLA @ UGA
86 - 66
Jan 6, 2026
UGA @ FLA
77 - 92
Feb 25, 2025
FLA @ UGA
83 - 88
Jan 25, 2025
UGA @ FLA
59 - 89
Mar 14, 2024
UGA @ FLA
80 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.5% more
Georgia: 7.7
vs
Florida: 5.2
Steals (L5)
+25.5% more
Georgia: 6.8
vs
Florida: 5.1
Turnovers (L5)
+9.1% more
Georgia: 11.8
vs
Florida: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Georgia: 36.2%
vs
Florida: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UGA Score
103.0
77
FLA Score
69.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 36.2
24.0 / 21.0
Assists
15.3 / 14.4
18.0 / 6.0
Blocks
5.2 / 7.7
10.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 50.3
47.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 72.2
70.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
45.7 / 40.9
56.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.1 / 6.8
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 11.8
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UGA
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
UGA
FLA
UGA
ML
77%
27-8
67%
22-11
63%
22-13
56%
18-14
ATS
69%
24-11
61%
20-13
63%
22-13
56%
18-14
TTL
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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