Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hoyas @ Blue Demons GTWN @ DEP

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

9-5  |  Road

50
FINAL
Tue, Jan 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Wintrust Arena
View Odds Details →

DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

9-6  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
0%
📊
BLUE DEMONS
100%
HOYAS --
BLUE DEMONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Georgetown)
HoyasGTWN (-3.5) 0 Blue DemonsDEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hoyas Cover

93.3%

Blue Demons Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GTWN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

GTWN By 1-7 points

15.3%

GTWN By 8-14 points

25.3%

DEP By 1-7 points

4.8%

DEP By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
90
GEORGETOWN
75
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
70
GEORGETOWN
75
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hoyas Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Demons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hoyas (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Blue Demons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 GTWN @ DEP 63 - 56
Jan 28, 2026 DEP @ GTWN 61 - 70
Jan 6, 2026 GTWN @ DEP 50 - 56
Mar 12, 2025 DEP @ GTWN 71 - 67
Mar 8, 2025 GTWN @ DEP 77 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.6% more
Georgetown: 7.4 vs DePaul: 4.5
Assists (L5) +15.3% more
Georgetown: 16.7 vs DePaul: 14.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Georgetown: 36.7% vs DePaul: 32.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.0%
Georgetown: 73.0% vs DePaul: 71.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score 90.0 50
DEP Score 75.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 36.7 35.0 / 8.0
Assists 14.1 / 16.7 15.0 / 4.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.5 7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 46.8 35.0 / 23.0
Free Throw % 71.0 / 73.0 62.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 36.0 39.0 / 41.0
Steals 4.5 / 7.4 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 9.9 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
DEP Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
GTWN
DEP
GTWN
ML
59% 19-13
67% 22-11
80% 24-6
73% 22-8
ATS
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
80% 24-6
73% 22-8
TTL
53% 17-15
58% 19-14
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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