VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
17-11-12 | Road
4
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
15-21-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | None-None | 2.78 | 0.850 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 3.70 | 0.871 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.78 Ldr
GAA
3.70
0.850
Save %
Ldr 0.871
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
JETS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
VGK By 1 goal
0.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
0.3%
WPG By 1 goal
6.6%
WPG By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
1
VEGAS
Winnipeg
5
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
WPG @ VGK
2 - 6
Mar 24, 2026
VGK @ WPG
1 - 4
Jan 6, 2026
VGK @ WPG
4 - 3
Apr 3, 2025
WPG @ VGK
4 - 0
Dec 12, 2024
VGK @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+35.1% more
Winnipeg: 29.5
vs
Vegas: 21.8
Takeaways (L5)
+30.2% more
Winnipeg: 5.2
vs
Vegas: 4.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Winnipeg: 52.3%
vs
Vegas: 48.8%
Power Play % (L5)
+3.4%
Winnipeg: 13.6%
vs
Vegas: 10.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
1.0
4
WPG Score
5.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.1 / 15.0
18.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 48.8
56.1 / 43.9
Hits
20.7 / 27.0
25.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
13.6 / 10.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 21.8
20.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.0
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
VGK
WPG
VGK
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
