Home / NHL Projections NHL / Stars @ Hurricanes DAL @ CAR

DALLAS

STARSDAL

25-9-8  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Jan 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

25-14-3  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 1.82 0.944 --
Brandon Bussi None-None 3.02 0.913 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.82 Ldr GAA 3.02
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.913
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
STARS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

30.9%

Hurricanes Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

DAL By 1 goal

12.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CAR By 1 goal

19.7%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DALLAS
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
3
DALLAS
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 6, 2026 DAL @ CAR 3 - 6
Oct 25, 2025 CAR @ DAL 2 - 3
Jan 21, 2025 CAR @ DAL 2 - 1
Nov 25, 2024 DAL @ CAR 4 - 6
Feb 24, 2024 DAL @ CAR 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +15.1%
Carolina: 21.4% vs Dallas: 6.3%
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.3% more
Carolina: 28.6 vs Dallas: 26.4
Faceoff % (L5) +1.6%
Dallas: 51.8% vs Carolina: 50.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.0 3
CAR Score 4.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.3 / 14.3 12.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 50.3 / 51.8 54.8 / 45.2
Hits 18.7 / 18.2 28.0 / 29.0
Power Play % 21.4 / 6.3 40.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 28.6 / 26.4 32.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 5.4 / 5.1 6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
47%MONEY53%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
DAL
CAR
DAL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-4
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 1 hour, 45 minutes ago
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
local10 19 hours, 54 minutes ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 13 hours ago
Semyon Varlamov Returns to Islanders Net After 676 Days and Two …
nypost 1 day, 19 hours ago