VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-20-5 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
21-15-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 4.08 | 0.789 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 3.00 | 0.919 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.08
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.789
Save %
Ldr 0.919
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
SABRES
0%
CANUCKS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
5
VANCOUVER
Buffalo
6
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
VAN @ BUF
3 - 5
Dec 11, 2025
BUF @ VAN
3 - 2
Jan 21, 2025
BUF @ VAN
3 - 2
Nov 29, 2024
VAN @ BUF
4 - 3
Mar 19, 2024
BUF @ VAN
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.1% more
Buffalo: 13.4
vs
Vancouver: 12.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.3% more
Buffalo: 31.3
vs
Vancouver: 28.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.5%
Buffalo: 51.5%
vs
Vancouver: 46.0%
Hits (L5)
+34.6% more
Vancouver: 27.9
vs
Buffalo: 18.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
5.0
3
BUF Score
6.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 12.2
14.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 46.0
53.6 / 46.4
Hits
18.3 / 27.9
16.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
1.7 / 22.0
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
31.3 / 28.6
20.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 5.0
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
VAN
BUF
VAN
ML
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
TTL
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
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