NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
22-18-2 | Road
0
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
23-15-4 | Home
9
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Colton White
#45 | D@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton White | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
DEVILS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NJ By 1 goal
6.6%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
NYI By 1 goal
0.9%
NYI By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
5
NEW JERSEY
New York
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 6
Feb 5, 2026
NYI @ NJ
3 - 1
Jan 6, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
NJ @ NYI
1 - 2
Nov 10, 2025
NYI @ NJ
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.0% more
New Jersey: 30.9
vs
New York: 23.8
Power Play % (L5)
+15.1%
New Jersey: 25.7%
vs
New York: 10.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+41.1% more
New York: 6.0
vs
New Jersey: 4.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.5% more
New York: 13.0
vs
New Jersey: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
5.0
0
NYI Score
1.0
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.0 / 11.3
17.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
48.3 / 47.6
45.5 / 54.5
Hits
19.5 / 20.2
16.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
1066.0 / 2572.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.8 / 30.9
24.0 / 44.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 4.3
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NJ
NYI
NJ
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-2-1
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1-1
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