TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
9-5 | Road
71
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
10-4 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
0%
VOLUNTEERS
100%
LONGHORNS
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEX -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-7 points
10.7%
TEX By 8-14 points
21.6%
TENN By 1-7 points
2.7%
TENN By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
109
TEXAS
Tennessee
91
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Texas
72
TEXAS
Tennessee
75
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Longhorns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Longhorns (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 200.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
TEX @ TENN
71 - 85
Mar 14, 2025
TEX @ TENN
72 - 83
Jan 11, 2025
TENN @ TEX
74 - 70
Mar 23, 2024
TEX @ TENN
58 - 62
Jan 28, 2023
TEX @ TENN
71 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.5%
Texas: 74.0%
vs
Tennessee: 58.5%
Blocks (L5)
+80.9% more
Tennessee: 3.7
vs
Texas: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+56.8% more
Tennessee: 19.1
vs
Texas: 12.2
Steals (L5)
+22.8% more
Tennessee: 8.6
vs
Texas: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
109.0
71
TENN Score
91.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 31.4
40.0 / 38.0
Assists
19.1 / 12.2
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.6 / 49.4
53.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
58.5 / 74.0
72.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 39.8
37.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.6 / 7.0
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 10.8
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
TEX
TENN
TEX
ML
46%
17-20
58%
21-15
64%
21-12
56%
19-15
ATS
54%
20-17
56%
20-16
64%
21-12
56%
19-15
TTL
76%
28-9
64%
23-13
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …