CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
4-11 | Road
69
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
10-4 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
ZIPS
0%
CHIPPEWAS
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
CMU By 1-7 points
8.0%
CMU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AKR By 1-7 points
20.1%
AKR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Michigan
81
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Akron
93
AKRON
Simulated Score
Central Michigan
65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Akron
72
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+23.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
AKR @ CMU
77 - 64
Jan 6, 2026
CMU @ AKR
69 - 82
Feb 15, 2025
AKR @ CMU
85 - 82
Jan 7, 2025
CMU @ AKR
71 - 87
Feb 6, 2024
CMU @ AKR
47 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+43.5% more
Akron: 18.4
vs
Central Michigan: 12.8
Steals (L5)
+32.9% more
Akron: 7.8
vs
Central Michigan: 5.9
Rebounding (L5)
+30.6% more
Akron: 38.5
vs
Central Michigan: 29.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.9%
Akron: 81.9%
vs
Central Michigan: 71.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CMU Score
81.0
69
AKR Score
93.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 26.2
40.0 / 29.0
Assists
18.4 / 12.8
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.4
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 44.6
57.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 71.0
67.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 29.5
34.0 / 20.0
Steals
7.8 / 5.9
12.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 11.1
19.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
CMU
AKR
CMU
ML
71%
24-10
57%
17-13
65%
22-12
70%
21-9
ATS
76%
26-8
67%
20-10
65%
22-12
70%
21-9
TTL
59%
20-14
67%
20-10
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
