Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Delta Devils AAMU @ MVSU

ALABAMA A&M

BULLDOGSAAMU

7-7  |  Road

71
FINAL
Mon, Jan 5 • 8:00 PM ET
R.W. Harrison HPER Complex
View Odds Details →

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-14  |  Home

51
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
DELTA DEVILS
100%
BULLDOGS --
DELTA DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Alabama A&M)
BulldogsAAMU (-3.5) 0 Delta DevilsMVSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

99.7%

Delta Devils Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AAMU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)

AAMU By 1-7 points

1.7%

AAMU By 8-14 points

6.8%

MVSU By 1-7 points

0.2%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
81
ALABAMA A&M
53
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Simulated Score
65
ALABAMA A&M
69
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Delta Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Delta Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u136.0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 MVSU @ AAMU 65 - 72
Jan 5, 2026 AAMU @ MVSU 71 - 51
Feb 15, 2025 AAMU @ MVSU 82 - 70
Jan 6, 2025 MVSU @ AAMU 67 - 79
Feb 17, 2024 MVSU @ AAMU 57 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +33.6% more
Alabama A&M: 36.4 vs Mississippi Valley State: 24.2
Assists (L5) +12.4% more
Alabama A&M: 12.4 vs Mississippi Valley State: 10.8
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Alabama A&M: 45.4% vs Mississippi Valley State: 42.1%
Turnovers (L5) +55.1% more
Mississippi Valley State: 16.0 vs Alabama A&M: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score 81.0 71
MVSU Score 53.0 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 29.9 26.0 / 32.0
Assists 10.8 / 12.4 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.4 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 45.4 33.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 79.4 / 74.8 67.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 24.2 / 36.4 26.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.0 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 16.0 / 10.3 18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
MVSU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.3
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MVSU
AAMU
MVSU
AAMU
ML
91% 30-3
55% 16-13
75% 18-6
67% 16-8
ATS
82% 27-6
55% 16-13
75% 18-6
67% 16-8
TTL
58% 19-14
66% 19-10
100% 24-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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