EAST TEXAS A&M
LIONSETAM
6-9 | Road
73
NEW ORLEANS
PRIVATEERSUNO
4-10 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
PRIVATEERS
100%
LIONS
--
PRIVATEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
EAST TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (East Texas A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ETAM -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETAM)
ETAM By 1-7 points
13.7%
ETAM By 8-14 points
24.3%
UNO By 1-7 points
4.0%
UNO By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
East Texas A&M
98
EAST TEXAS A&M
New Orleans
82
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
East Texas A&M
73
EAST TEXAS A&M
New Orleans
78
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Privateers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-7)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Privateers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.0
Win
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim
u151.0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 2, 2026
UNO @ ETAM
94 - 85
Jan 5, 2026
ETAM @ UNO
73 - 83
Feb 24, 2025
ETAM @ UNO
73 - 71
Jan 18, 2025
UNO @ ETAM
82 - 73
Feb 10, 2024
UNO @ ETAM
83 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+29.0% more
East Texas A&M: 15.3
vs
New Orleans: 10.9
Steals (L5)
+25.8% more
East Texas A&M: 7.1
vs
New Orleans: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+24.5% more
East Texas A&M: 18.1
vs
New Orleans: 13.7
Blocks (L5)
+64.3% more
New Orleans: 5.1
vs
East Texas A&M: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score
98.0
73
UNO Score
82.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.8 / 26.9
26.0 / 36.0
Assists
10.9 / 15.3
15.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.1
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 40.1
42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 66.8
73.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 33.8
50.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.3 / 7.1
2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 18.1
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
ETAM
UNO
ETAM
ML
52%
16-15
52%
13-12
57%
17-13
62%
15-9
ATS
52%
16-15
56%
14-11
57%
17-13
62%
15-9
TTL
58%
18-13
68%
17-8
100%
30-0
100%
24-0
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