Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Islanders @ Huskies AMCC @ HCU

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

7-7  |  Road

81
FINAL
Mon, Jan 5 • 8:00 PM ET
Sharp Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

5-9  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
ISLANDERS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
IslandersAMCC (-3.5) 0 HuskiesHCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

81.6%

Huskies Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)

AMCC By 1-7 points

24.3%

AMCC By 8-14 points

26.8%

HCU By 1-7 points

12.2%

HCU By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
74
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
65
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
65
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
78
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 HCU @ AMCC 71 - 73
Jan 5, 2026 AMCC @ HCU 81 - 65
Mar 9, 2025 HCU @ AMCC 48 - 62
Feb 17, 2025 HCU @ AMCC 62 - 68
Jan 20, 2025 AMCC @ HCU 72 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +36.7% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 7.6 vs Houston Christian: 4.8
Assists (L5) +25.5% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 15.4 vs Houston Christian: 11.5
Rebounding (L5) +24.4% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 41.2 vs Houston Christian: 31.1
Blocks (L5) +18.2% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 2.8 vs Houston Christian: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score 74.0 81
HCU Score 65.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 40.6 22.0 / 30.0
Assists 11.5 / 15.4 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.8 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 44.8 42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 67.3 / 67.9 74.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 31.1 / 41.2 29.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.8 / 7.6 7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 12.3 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
HCU
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
AMCC
HCU
AMCC
ML
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
81% 25-6
67% 18-9
ATS
58% 18-13
67% 20-10
81% 26-6
67% 18-9
TTL
68% 21-10
60% 18-12
100% 32-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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