CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
17-18 | Road
101
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
22-12 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
CELTICS
0%
BULLS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CHI By 1-7 points
12.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
4.0%
BOS By 1-7 points
24.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
117
CHICAGO
Boston
126
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Boston
118
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o236.5
Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim
u236.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
CHI @ BOS
105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026
BOS @ CHI
111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026
CHI @ BOS
101 - 115
Jan 29, 2025
CHI @ BOS
100 - 122
Dec 21, 2024
BOS @ CHI
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.4% more
Boston: 6.1
vs
Chicago: 5.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Boston: 40.1%
vs
Chicago: 32.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Boston: 82.8%
vs
Chicago: 77.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Boston: 51.4%
vs
Chicago: 47.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
117.0
101
BOS Score
126.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 32.1
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
25.9 / 31.1
22.0 / 25.0
Blocks
6.1 / 5.3
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.4 / 47.0
40.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
82.8 / 77.8
85.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 45.8
54.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.5
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 12.3
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHI
BOS
CHI
ML
57%
61-46
56%
54-42
53%
47-41
57%
46-35
ATS
59%
61-43-3
65%
62-33-1
53%
47-41
57%
46-35
TTL
56%
60-47
58%
56-40
100%
88-0
100%
81-0
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