Home / NBA Projections NBA / Warriors @ Clippers GS @ LAC

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

19-17  |  Road

102
FINAL
Mon, Jan 5 • 10:00 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

12-22  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
📊
CLIPPERS
100%
WARRIORS --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Golden State)
WarriorsGS (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warriors Cover

72.6%

Clippers Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

GS By 1-7 points

26.8%

GS By 8-14 points

24.3%

LAC By 1-7 points

16.9%

LAC By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
112
GOLDEN STATE
106
LA
Simulated Score
112
GOLDEN STATE
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warriors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warriors (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u223.5 Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim u223.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 GS @ LAC 126 - 121
Apr 12, 2026 GS @ LAC 110 - 115
Mar 2, 2026 LAC @ GS 114 - 101
Jan 5, 2026 GS @ LAC 102 - 103
Oct 28, 2025 LAC @ GS 79 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.3% more
Golden State: 16.3 vs LA: 11.0
Assists (L5) +19.0% more
Golden State: 29.3 vs LA: 23.7
Rebounding (L5) +12.8% more
Golden State: 43.0 vs LA: 37.5
Steals (L5) +12.3% more
Golden State: 8.7 vs LA: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GS Score 112.0 102
LAC Score 106.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 37.5 34.0 / 24.0
Assists 23.7 / 29.3 25.0 / 27.0
Blocks 5.8 / 3.9 9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 46.8 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 88.8 / 80.1 90.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 43.0 48.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.7 5.0 / 18.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 16.3 20.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
GS
LAC
GS
ML
60% 59-40
55% 95-79
55% 45-37
58% 49-35
ATS
66% 65-33-1
58% 101-73
55% 45-37
58% 49-35
TTL
59% 58-40-1
77% 134-40
100% 82-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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