UTAH
JAZZUTAH
12-22 | Road
117
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
16-20 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
JAZZ
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
249.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
20.1%
POR By 1-7 points
21.6%
POR By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
126
UTAH
Portland
123
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Utah
110
UTAH
Portland
115
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o241.0
Win
Proj Total: 249.0
D
Sim
u241.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTAH @ POR
114 - 124
Feb 12, 2026
POR @ UTAH
135 - 119
Jan 5, 2026
UTAH @ POR
117 - 137
Oct 29, 2025
POR @ UTAH
136 - 134
Oct 16, 2025
POR @ UTAH
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.5% more
Utah: 7.1
vs
Portland: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+17.0% more
Utah: 29.4
vs
Portland: 24.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.4%
Utah: 76.0%
vs
Portland: 69.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Utah: 49.0%
vs
Portland: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
126.0
117
POR Score
123.0
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 35.3
40.0 / 42.0
Assists
24.4 / 29.4
32.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.4
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 49.0
53.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 76.0
95.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
48.2 / 38.4
45.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.1
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 15.4
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
UTAH
POR
UTAH
ML
53%
56-49
60%
96-63
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
ATS
62%
65-39-1
68%
108-51
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
TTL
56%
58-46-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
89-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…