LAMAR
CARDINALSLAM
7-7 | Road
52
SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
4-10 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
LIONS
0%
CARDINALS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (SE Louisiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SELA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)
LAM By 1-7 points
4.0%
LAM By 8-14 points
0.8%
SELA By 1-7 points
13.7%
SELA By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Lamar
72
LAMAR
SE Louisiana
88
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
Lamar
73
LAMAR
SE Louisiana
78
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 2, 2026
SELA @ LAM
54 - 73
Jan 5, 2026
LAM @ SELA
52 - 60
Feb 3, 2025
LAM @ SELA
79 - 81
Feb 19, 2024
LAM @ SELA
77 - 72
Jan 27, 2024
SELA @ LAM
64 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.2% more
SE Louisiana: 7.9
vs
Lamar: 6.3
Blocks (L5)
+20.9% more
SE Louisiana: 4.0
vs
Lamar: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.8%
SE Louisiana: 80.7%
vs
Lamar: 73.9%
Assists (L5)
+22.5% more
Lamar: 13.1
vs
SE Louisiana: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAM Score
72.0
52
SELA Score
88.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 31.5
35.0 / 21.0
Assists
10.1 / 13.1
15.0 / 4.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.3
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 41.1
42.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
80.7 / 73.9
52.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 36.1
30.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.3
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 11.0
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAM
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
SELA
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
LAM
SELA
LAM
ML
70%
21-9
55%
16-13
66%
19-10
59%
17-12
ATS
60%
18-12
52%
15-14
67%
20-10
60%
18-12
TTL
70%
21-9
72%
21-8
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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