PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
5-9 | Road
89
SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
5-9 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
JAGUARS
100%
PANTHERS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)
PV By 1-7 points
15.3%
PV By 8-14 points
25.3%
SOU By 1-7 points
4.8%
SOU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
87
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Southern
72
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
71
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Southern
76
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
PV @ SOU
72 - 66
Feb 14, 2026
SOU @ PV
87 - 82
Jan 5, 2026
PV @ SOU
89 - 85
Feb 15, 2025
PV @ SOU
60 - 72
Jan 6, 2025
SOU @ PV
84 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.4% more
Prairie View A&M: 14.7
vs
Southern: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.8%
Prairie View A&M: 79.2%
vs
Southern: 66.5%
Blocks (L5)
+9.0% more
Prairie View A&M: 3.0
vs
Southern: 2.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Prairie View A&M: 36.0%
vs
Southern: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
87.0
89
SOU Score
72.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 36.0
47.0 / 40.0
Assists
13.8 / 10.9
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.0
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 43.7
42.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 79.2
80.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 33.2
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.0 / 9.3
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 14.7
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
SOU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
SOU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
PV
SOU
PV
ML
67%
22-11
59%
20-14
70%
21-9
68%
21-10
ATS
64%
21-12
56%
19-15
70%
21-9
68%
21-10
TTL
42%
14-19
50%
17-17
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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