Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cornhuskers @ Buckeyes NEB @ OSU

NEBRASKA

CORNHUSKERSNEB

14-0  |  Road

72
FINAL
Mon, Jan 5 • 6:30 PM ET
Value City Arena
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

10-3  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
0%
📊
BUCKEYES
100%
CORNHUSKERS --
BUCKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-59.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +59.0 points (Nebraska)
CornhuskersNEB (-3.5) 0 BuckeyesOSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cornhuskers Cover

100.0%

Buckeyes Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NEB -59.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)

NEB By 1-7 points

0.0%

NEB By 8-14 points

0.0%

OSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

OSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
102
NEBRASKA
43
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
68
NEBRASKA
74
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cornhuskers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buckeyes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cornhuskers (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -59.0
D
Sim Buckeyes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 5, 2026 NEB @ OSU 72 - 69
Mar 4, 2025 NEB @ OSU 114 - 116
Feb 9, 2025 OSU @ NEB 71 - 79
Feb 29, 2024 NEB @ OSU 69 - 78
Jan 23, 2024 OSU @ NEB 69 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.5% more
Nebraska: 6.6 vs Ohio State: 5.0
Blocks (L5) +23.6% more
Nebraska: 3.8 vs Ohio State: 2.9
Turnovers (L5) +32.7% more
Ohio State: 11.0 vs Nebraska: 8.3
Field Goal % (L5) +9.1%
Ohio State: 51.3% vs Nebraska: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NEB Score 102.0 72
OSU Score 43.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 31.2 35.0 / 28.0
Assists 16.7 / 17.4 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.8 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 42.2 46.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 81.6 / 76.5 62.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 36.3 29.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.0 / 6.6 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 8.3 8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB Advantage
28-7-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
OSU
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB Advantage
19-15-1 (55.9%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
OSU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -6.7
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
NEB
OSU
NEB
ML
53% 18-16
51% 18-17
73% 24-9
62% 21-13
ATS
59% 20-14
54% 19-16
73% 24-9
62% 21-13
TTL
56% 19-15
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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