UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
19-20-3 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
20-18-5 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 1.96 | 0.917 | -- |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 3.76 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.96 Ldr
GAA
3.76
0.917 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
RANGERS
0%
MAMMOTH
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Utah
3
UTAH
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
UTA @ NYR
2 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
UTA @ NYR
3 - 2
Nov 22, 2025
NYR @ UTA
2 - 3
Jan 16, 2025
NYR @ UTA
5 - 3
Oct 12, 2024
UTA @ NYR
6 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+77.8% more
New York: 22.6
vs
Utah: 12.7
Power Play % (L5)
+40.9%
New York: 55.6%
vs
Utah: 14.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+11.3% more
New York: 3.9
vs
Utah: 3.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
New York: 53.2%
vs
Utah: 49.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
3
NYR Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
22.6 / 12.7
14.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
53.2 / 49.8
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
21.3 / 20.4
38.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
55.6 / 14.6
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.1 / 27.8
24.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 3.5
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
UTA
NYR
UTA
ML
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
ATS
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
TTL
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
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