DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
24-15-4 | Road
5
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
20-15-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | None-None | 3.00 | 0.919 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
--
0.919
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
SENATORS
0%
RED WINGS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
DET By 1 goal
6.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
3.7%
OTT By 1 goal
17.5%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
1
DETROIT
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
DET @ OTT
2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
DET @ OTT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+43.8% more
Ottawa: 4.9
vs
Detroit: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+37.0% more
Ottawa: 28.9
vs
Detroit: 21.1
Hits (L5)
+30.7% more
Ottawa: 23.9
vs
Detroit: 18.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.8% more
Detroit: 15.5
vs
Ottawa: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
1.0
5
OTT Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 15.5
12.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
47.6 / 49.0
58.7 / 41.3
Hits
23.9 / 18.3
20.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
20.8 / 20.4
16.7 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 21.1
38.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 3.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
DET
OTT
DET
ML
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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