CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
24-14-3 | Road
3
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
22-17-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
| Jake Allen | None-None | 3.23 | 0.931 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.23
0.966 Ldr
Save %
0.931
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
DEVILS
0%
HURRICANES
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
CAR By 1 goal
0.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
0.3%
NJ By 1 goal
6.6%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
1
CAROLINA
New Jersey
5
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
NJ @ CAR
2 - 5
Jan 17, 2026
CAR @ NJ
4 - 1
Jan 4, 2026
CAR @ NJ
3 - 1
Oct 9, 2025
NJ @ CAR
3 - 6
Apr 29, 2025
NJ @ CAR
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.0% more
New Jersey: 31.8
vs
Carolina: 28.4
Power Play % (L5)
+6.5%
New Jersey: 38.6%
vs
Carolina: 32.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
New Jersey: 49.4%
vs
Carolina: 47.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
1.0
3
NJ Score
5.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 12.4
9.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.4 / 47.5
44.1 / 55.9
Hits
19.3 / 20.1
22.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
3859.0 / 3210.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.8 / 28.4
29.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 5.1
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
CAR
NJ
CAR
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
0%
0-2-1
0%
0-4
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
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