VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
17-11-11 | Road
2
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
16-18-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Lauzon
#5 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lauzon | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 1.96 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.96
--
Save %
0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
VGK By 1 goal
0.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
0.3%
CHI By 1 goal
6.6%
CHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
1
VEGAS
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
CHI @ VGK
2 - 5
Mar 14, 2026
CHI @ VGK
0 - 4
Jan 4, 2026
VGK @ CHI
2 - 3
Dec 2, 2025
CHI @ VGK
3 - 4
Mar 28, 2025
VGK @ CHI
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+31.5% more
Chicago: 6.6
vs
Vegas: 5.0
Power Play % (L5)
+20.2%
Chicago: 35.5%
vs
Vegas: 15.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Chicago: 48.1%
vs
Vegas: 46.4%
Hits (L5)
+21.7% more
Vegas: 23.4
vs
Chicago: 18.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
1.0
2
CHI Score
5.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.7 / 13.0
8.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
48.1 / 46.4
46.3 / 53.7
Hits
18.3 / 23.4
15.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
3546.0 / 1524.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.9 / 25.2
20.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 5.0
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
VGK
CHI
VGK
ML
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
ATS
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
TTL
25%
1-3-1
20%
1-4
75%
3-1-1
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming