PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

19-12-9  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 3:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

18-16-6  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Arturs Silovs
GOALTENDER

Arturs Silovs

#37 | Goaltender
@
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Arturs Silovs None-None 3.96 0.840 --
Jet Greaves None-None 4.81 0.884 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.96 Ldr GAA 4.81
0.840 Save % Ldr 0.884
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
0%
PENGUINS --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Columbus)
PenguinsPIT (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Penguins Cover

15.9%

Blue Jackets Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

PIT By 1 goal

6.6%

PIT By 2-3 goals

3.7%

CBJ By 1 goal

17.5%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2
PITTSBURGH
4
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
4
PITTSBURGH
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Penguins (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 CBJ @ PIT 4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026 PIT @ CBJ 5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025 PIT @ CBJ 4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025 CBJ @ PIT 5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025 CBJ @ PIT 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +24.5% more
Columbus: 22.7 vs Pittsburgh: 18.2
Power Play % (L5) +17.4%
Pittsburgh: 22.7% vs Columbus: 5.3%
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.4% more
Pittsburgh: 15.0 vs Columbus: 13.5
Takeaways (L5) +9.2% more
Pittsburgh: 6.2 vs Columbus: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PIT Score 2.0 5
CBJ Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 15.0 19.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 49.9 / 52.0 46.9 / 53.1
Hits 22.7 / 18.2 22.0 / 14.0
Power Play % 5.3 / 22.7 0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 32.0 / 29.8 25.0 / 43.0
Takeaways 5.6 / 6.2 7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
85%MONEY15%