Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Flames @ Beacons UIC @ VAL

UIC

FLAMESUIC

5-9  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 3:00 PM ET
Athletics-Recreation Center
View Odds Details →

VALPARAISO

BEACONSVAL

6-8  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
BEACONS
100%
FLAMES --
BEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (UIC)
FlamesUIC (-3.5) 0 BeaconsVAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

100.0%

Beacons Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UIC -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)

UIC By 1-7 points

0.1%

UIC By 8-14 points

1.1%

VAL By 1-7 points

0.0%

VAL By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
73
UIC
36
VALPARAISO
Simulated Score
69
UIC
73
VALPARAISO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Beacons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim Beacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 VAL @ UIC 71 - 67
Jan 4, 2026 UIC @ VAL 59 - 66
Mar 6, 2025 VAL @ UIC 67 - 50
Mar 2, 2025 VAL @ UIC 73 - 77
Jan 18, 2025 UIC @ VAL 81 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.1% more
UIC: 8.3 vs Valparaiso: 5.0
Assists (L5) +29.2% more
UIC: 14.9 vs Valparaiso: 10.6
Turnovers (L5) +18.0% more
UIC: 12.5 vs Valparaiso: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
UIC: 31.5% vs Valparaiso: 24.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIC Score 73.0 59
VAL Score 36.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.4 / 31.5 45.0 / 17.0
Assists 10.6 / 14.9 8.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.2 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 37.2 / 43.8 37.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 76.2 / 78.0 77.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 38.9 28.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.0 / 8.3 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.5 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
VAL Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
VAL Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
VAL
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAL
UIC
VAL
UIC
ML
48% 16-17
57% 20-15
61% 20-13
44% 15-19
ATS
52% 17-16
54% 19-16
61% 20-13
44% 15-19
TTL
61% 20-13
60% 21-14
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
thesunflower 48 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 19 hours, 38 minutes ago
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
yahoo 19 hours, 56 minutes ago
NYT Mini Crossword Solutions for October 6: Tricky Clues Solved
cnet 2 days, 19 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days ago