Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Jaguars WRST @ IUIN

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

8-7  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 2:00 PM ET
The Jungle
View Odds Details →

IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

4-12  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
JAGUARS
0%
RAIDERS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 JaguarsIUIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

6.7%

Jaguars Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

WRST By 1-7 points

4.8%

WRST By 8-14 points

1.1%

IUIN By 1-7 points

15.3%

IUIN By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
73
WRIGHT STATE
88
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
76
WRIGHT STATE
69
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Raiders (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 IUIN @ WRST 73 - 85
Jan 4, 2026 WRST @ IUIN 81 - 77
Mar 4, 2025 IUIN @ WRST 85 - 98
Mar 1, 2025 WRST @ IUIN 84 - 91
Feb 8, 2025 IUIN @ WRST 73 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +47.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 18.4 vs Wright State: 12.5
Steals (L5) +33.4% more
IU Indianapolis: 9.3 vs Wright State: 7.0
Turnovers (L5) +20.3% more
IU Indianapolis: 12.3 vs Wright State: 10.3
Free Throw % (L5) +3.9%
IU Indianapolis: 79.4% vs Wright State: 75.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 73.0 81
IUIN Score 88.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 34.8 40.0 / 53.0
Assists 18.4 / 12.5 22.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.3 / 5.4 3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 47.2 48.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 79.4 / 75.5 64.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 37.1 27.0 / 31.0
Steals 9.3 / 7.0 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 10.3 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
WRST
IUIN
WRST
ML
69% 22-10
37% 13-22
78% 25-7
63% 22-13
ATS
66% 21-11
46% 16-19
78% 25-7
63% 22-13
TTL
50% 16-16
63% 22-13
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days, 1 hour ago
Houston Cougars Set to Host Southern Jaguars in Week 2 Clash at …
si 3 weeks, 5 days ago
Big 12 2026 Preview: Texas Tech's Title Defense Faces These Chal…
theathleticuk 1 month, 1 week ago
Darrion Williams Picks Texas Tech Over Kentucky for Final Colleg…
yahoo 2 months ago
Darrion Williams Commits to Texas Tech for Fifth Season, Boostin…
slamonline 2 months ago