Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Huskies MARQ @ CONN

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

5-9  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 2:00 PM ET
Gampel Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

13-1  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (UConn)
Golden EaglesMARQ (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

0.8%

Huskies Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

MARQ By 1-7 points

0.6%

MARQ By 8-14 points

0.1%

CONN By 1-7 points

4.0%

CONN By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
51
MARQUETTE
75
UCONN
Simulated Score
73
MARQUETTE
78
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (-17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 CONN @ MARQ 62 - 68
Jan 4, 2026 MARQ @ CONN 57 - 73
Mar 5, 2025 MARQ @ CONN 66 - 72
Feb 1, 2025 CONN @ MARQ 77 - 69
Mar 16, 2024 MARQ @ CONN 57 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +71.0% more
UConn: 6.1 vs Marquette: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +40.9% more
UConn: 13.5 vs Marquette: 9.6
Assists (L5) +39.5% more
UConn: 20.4 vs Marquette: 14.7
Rebounding (L5) +17.6% more
UConn: 39.6 vs Marquette: 33.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MARQ Score 51.0 57
CONN Score 75.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 30.0 21.0 / 21.0
Assists 20.4 / 14.7 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 6.1 / 3.6 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 37.5 43.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 65.6 67.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 33.7 49.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.5 / 7.9 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 9.6 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MARQ
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
CONN Advantage
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
MARQ
CONN
MARQ
ML
76% 29-9
59% 19-13
66% 23-12
62% 20-12
ATS
74% 28-10
53% 17-15
66% 23-12
62% 20-12
TTL
50% 19-19
50% 16-16
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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