Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chargers @ Blue Devils NHVN @ CCSU

NEW HAVEN

CHARGERSNHVN

6-8  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 1:00 PM ET
Detrick Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

BLUE DEVILSCCSU

6-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
CHARGERS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Central Connecticut)
ChargersNHVN (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsCCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chargers Cover

34.5%

Blue Devils Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCSU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)

NHVN By 1-7 points

20.1%

NHVN By 8-14 points

9.3%

CCSU By 1-7 points

27.4%

CCSU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
60
NEW HAVEN
64
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
62
NEW HAVEN
74
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u128.5 Loss
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u128.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 CCSU @ NHVN 81 - 76
Jan 4, 2026 NHVN @ CCSU 61 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +20.8% more
Central Connecticut: 15.7 vs New Haven: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.9%
Central Connecticut: 41.8% vs New Haven: 28.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
Central Connecticut: 75.4% vs New Haven: 64.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
Central Connecticut: 49.5% vs New Haven: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NHVN Score 60.0 61
CCSU Score 64.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.8 / 28.9 52.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.7 / 13.0 13.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.5 / 42.9 50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.4 / 64.9 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 30.8 / 29.5 28.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.1 / 6.6 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 10.6 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NHVN
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
CCSU Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NHVN Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
CCSU
14-13-1 (51.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -3.5
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
NHVN
CCSU
NHVN
ML
57% 17-13
71% 22-9
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
ATS
63% 19-11
74% 23-8
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
TTL
60% 18-12
42% 13-18
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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