FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
9-5 | Road
66
TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
10-4 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
GREEN WAVE
100%
OWLS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
FAU By 1-7 points
5.8%
FAU By 8-14 points
15.3%
TULN By 1-7 points
1.1%
TULN By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
89
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Tulane
67
TULANE
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
71
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Tulane
78
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
TULN @ FAU
74 - 79
Jan 4, 2026
FAU @ TULN
66 - 69
Mar 14, 2025
FAU @ TULN
76 - 83
Jan 15, 2025
FAU @ TULN
65 - 80
Mar 2, 2024
TULN @ FAU
73 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 16.1
vs
Tulane: 12.7
Blocks (L5)
+18.2% more
Florida Atlantic: 5.7
vs
Tulane: 4.7
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Florida Atlantic: 40.8
vs
Tulane: 36.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.4%
Florida Atlantic: 39.9%
vs
Tulane: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
89.0
66
TULN Score
67.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 39.9
36.0 / 22.0
Assists
12.7 / 16.1
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.7 / 5.7
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 50.3
40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 75.6
80.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 40.8
28.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.2
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 13.2
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
FAU
TULN
FAU
ML
70%
23-10
64%
21-12
47%
15-17
66%
21-11
ATS
62%
20-12-1
70%
23-10
47%
15-17
66%
21-11
TTL
55%
18-15
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
