RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
10-4 | Road
83
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
9-5 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
RAMS
0%
SPIDERS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
88.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
RICH By 1-7 points
4.0%
RICH By 8-14 points
0.8%
FOR By 1-7 points
13.7%
FOR By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
36
RICHMOND
Fordham
52
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
Richmond
68
RICHMOND
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 88.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 4, 2026
RICH @ FOR
83 - 75
Feb 15, 2025
FOR @ RICH
66 - 70
Jan 31, 2024
RICH @ FOR
83 - 69
Feb 5, 2023
FOR @ RICH
58 - 68
Jan 18, 2022
RICH @ FOR
83 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+34.2% more
Fordham: 13.5
vs
Richmond: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+22.7% more
Fordham: 40.1
vs
Richmond: 32.7
Blocks (L5)
+50.7% more
Richmond: 2.1
vs
Fordham: 1.0
Steals (L5)
+12.9% more
Richmond: 7.8
vs
Fordham: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
36.0
83
FOR Score
52.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 38.8
24.0 / 68.0
Assists
14.6 / 14.3
15.0 / 21.0
Blocks
1.0 / 2.1
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 45.6
47.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 80.3
67.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
40.1 / 32.7
43.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.8
1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 10.0
13.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
RICH
FOR
RICH
ML
59%
19-13
53%
17-15
59%
19-13
56%
18-14
ATS
59%
19-13
44%
14-18
59%
19-13
56%
18-14
TTL
59%
19-13
56%
18-14
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Drake Men's Basketball Enters Year 2 Under Eric Henderson with R…
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…