TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
6-7 | Road
63
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
VAQUEROSRGV
5-8 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
VAQUEROS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
VAQUEROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
AMCC By 1-7 points
0.1%
AMCC By 8-14 points
0.8%
RGV By 1-7 points
0.0%
RGV By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
89
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
UT Rio Grande Valley
51
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Simulated Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
74
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
UT Rio Grande Valley
78
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vaqueros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Vaqueros (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 26, 2026
RGV @ AMCC
64 - 55
Jan 3, 2026
AMCC @ RGV
63 - 59
Feb 1, 2025
AMCC @ RGV
73 - 83
Jan 11, 2025
RGV @ AMCC
74 - 79
Dec 15, 2023
AMCC @ RGV
86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.7% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 8.9
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 5.2
Rebounding (L5)
+13.2% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 42.8
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 37.1
Blocks (L5)
+8.1% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 3.2
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 40.9%
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score
89.0
63
RGV Score
51.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 40.9
11.0 / 40.0
Assists
18.6 / 15.6
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 45.7
39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 70.3
77.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 42.8
30.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.2 / 8.9
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 12.4
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
RGV
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
RGV
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
RGV
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RGV
AMCC
RGV
AMCC
ML
53%
16-14
70%
21-9
54%
15-13
67%
18-9
ATS
53%
16-14
67%
20-10
54%
15-13
67%
18-9
TTL
60%
18-12
60%
18-12
100%
28-0
100%
27-0