VERMONT
CATAMOUNTSUVM
8-7 | Road
80
NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
4-9 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
CATAMOUNTS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNH -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
UVM By 1-7 points
21.6%
UVM By 8-14 points
10.7%
UNH By 1-7 points
27.2%
UNH By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont
70
VERMONT
New Hampshire
73
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
Vermont
72
VERMONT
New Hampshire
65
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u138.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UNH @ UVM
57 - 80
Jan 3, 2026
UVM @ UNH
80 - 61
Mar 8, 2025
UNH @ UVM
57 - 64
Feb 13, 2025
UNH @ UVM
59 - 79
Jan 4, 2025
UVM @ UNH
60 - 40
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+67.3% more
New Hampshire: 3.3
vs
Vermont: 2.0
Turnovers (L5)
+39.0% more
New Hampshire: 11.7
vs
Vermont: 8.4
Steals (L5)
+25.7% more
New Hampshire: 7.1
vs
Vermont: 5.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
New Hampshire: 31.2%
vs
Vermont: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVM Score
70.0
80
UNH Score
73.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 29.3
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
8.6 / 11.0
11.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.0
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.7 / 43.7
42.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
65.5 / 75.4
80.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 34.6
28.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.7
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 8.4
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
UNH
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
UNH
Advantage
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
UVM
UNH
UVM
ML
70%
19-8
56%
19-15
74%
20-7
65%
22-12
ATS
67%
18-9
62%
21-13
74%
20-7
65%
22-12
TTL
59%
16-11
47%
16-18
100%
27-0
100%
34-0
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